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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

12:00

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

57%

BG Pathum United

1.77

28%

Draw

3.58

15%

Sukhothai FC

6.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.22

0.68

Sukhothai FC xG

57%
28%
15%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawSukhothai FC

1.77

57%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

6.49

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

50%

BG Pathum United

1.98

22%

Sukhothai FC

4.63

Win to Nil

29%

BG Pathum United

3.50

3%

Sukhothai FC

30.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 7.5 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 16.7 11.4 3.9 0.9 0.2
2 12.8 8.8 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 6.5 4.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.533
λ Away (xG) 0.684
Total xG 2.217
League avg home goals 1.693
League avg away goals 1.257
BG Pathum United attack strength 0.872
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.667
Sukhothai FC attack strength 0.816
Sukhothai FC defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59