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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

11:00

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

45%

BG Pathum United

2.21

33%

Draw

3.06

22%

Rayong FC

4.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.35

0.93

Rayong FC xG

45%
33%
22%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawRayong FC

2.21

45%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

4.54

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

39%

BG Pathum United

2.54

24%

Rayong FC

4.11

Win to Nil

18%

BG Pathum United

5.61

5%

Rayong FC

18.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 8.9 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.5 12.6 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 8.9 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.5 4.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.414
λ Away (xG) 0.933
Total xG 2.347
League avg home goals 1.507
League avg away goals 1.205
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.026
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.751
Rayong FC attack strength 1.030
Rayong FC defence strength 0.915
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40