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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

12:30

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

56%

BG Pathum United

1.79

27%

Draw

3.73

17%

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

5.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.94

1.02

Nakhon Ratchasima FC xG

56%
27%
17%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawNakhon Ratchasima FC

1.79

56%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

5.75

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

36%

BG Pathum United

2.78

15%

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

6.78

Win to Nil

20%

BG Pathum United

4.98

3%

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

38.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.4 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.2 10.4 5.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.2 6.3 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.0 3.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.914
λ Away (xG) 1.022
Total xG 2.936
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.081
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.121
BG Pathum United defence strength 1.176
Nakhon Ratchasima FC attack strength 0.804
Nakhon Ratchasima FC defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57