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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

12:00

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

68%

BG Pathum United

1.46

20%

Draw

4.88

11%

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

8.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.73

0.70

Nakhon Ratchasima FC xG

68%
20%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawNakhon Ratchasima FC

1.46

68%

Home win

4.88

20%

Draw

8.90

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

50%

BG Pathum United

2.01

13%

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

7.65

Win to Nil

34%

BG Pathum United

2.94

1%

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

68.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 9.2 3.2 0.7 0.1
2 13.5 9.4 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 9.1 6.4 2.2 0.5 0.1
4 4.7 3.2 1.1 0.3
5 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.035
λ Away (xG) 0.697
Total xG 2.732
League avg home goals 1.671
League avg away goals 1.208
BG Pathum United attack strength 0.928
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.703
Nakhon Ratchasima FC attack strength 0.821
Nakhon Ratchasima FC defence strength 1.313
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 27