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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

12:00

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

46%

BG Pathum United

2.19

32%

Draw

3.09

22%

Muangthong United

4.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.42

0.96

Muangthong United xG

46%
32%
22%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawMuangthong United

2.19

46%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

4.56

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

38%

BG Pathum United

2.61

23%

Muangthong United

4.31

Win to Nil

17%

BG Pathum United

5.71

5%

Muangthong United

19.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 8.5 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.0 12.5 6.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.1 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.6 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.460
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 2.421
League avg home goals 1.528
League avg away goals 1.191
BG Pathum United attack strength 0.980
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.799
Muangthong United attack strength 1.009
Muangthong United defence strength 0.975
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 44