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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

12:00

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

49%

BG Pathum United

2.05

30%

Draw

3.36

22%

Lamphun Warrior

4.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.12

0.79

Lamphun Warrior xG

49%
30%
22%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawLamphun Warrior

2.05

49%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

4.65

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

45%

BG Pathum United

2.20

26%

Lamphun Warrior

3.78

Win to Nil

22%

BG Pathum United

4.51

6%

Lamphun Warrior

17.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 9.5 3.7 1.0 0.2
1 16.0 12.6 5.0 1.3 0.3
2 10.6 8.4 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.7 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.331
λ Away (xG) 0.789
Total xG 2.120
League avg home goals 1.647
League avg away goals 1.214
BG Pathum United attack strength 0.991
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.731
Lamphun Warrior attack strength 0.889
Lamphun Warrior defence strength 0.815
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54