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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

12:00

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

49%

BG Pathum United

2.04

28%

Draw

3.53

23%

Chonburi FC

4.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.78

1.10

Chonburi FC xG

49%
28%
23%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawChonburi FC

2.04

49%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

4.39

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

33%

BG Pathum United

3.00

19%

Chonburi FC

5.37

Win to Nil

16%

BG Pathum United

6.13

4%

Chonburi FC

23.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.8 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.4 11.5 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.6 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.4 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.680
λ Away (xG) 1.098
Total xG 2.778
League avg home goals 1.493
League avg away goals 1.167
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.101
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.986
Chonburi FC attack strength 0.954
Chonburi FC defence strength 1.022
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 22