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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

12:00

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

39%

BG Pathum United

2.59

28%

Draw

3.51

33%

Buriram United

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

2.64

1.26

Buriram United xG

39%
28%
33%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawBuriram United

2.59

39%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

28%

BG Pathum United

3.53

25%

Buriram United

3.97

Win to Nil

11%

BG Pathum United

9.14

8%

Buriram United

12.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 9.0 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 9.8 12.4 7.8 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 8.6 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 3.9 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.380
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.640
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.127
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.126
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.845
Buriram United attack strength 1.322
Buriram United defence strength 0.793
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49