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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

13:30

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

52%

BG Pathum United

1.92

26%

Draw

3.89

22%

Ayutthaya FC

4.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

3.17

1.23

Ayutthaya FC xG

52%
26%
22%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawAyutthaya FC

1.92

52%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

4.48

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

29%

BG Pathum United

3.42

14%

Ayutthaya FC

6.92

Win to Nil

15%

BG Pathum United

6.59

3%

Ayutthaya FC

31.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.2 10.0 6.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.1 6.3 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.5 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.935
λ Away (xG) 1.231
Total xG 3.166
League avg home goals 1.586
League avg away goals 1.149
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.070
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.884
Ayutthaya FC attack strength 1.212
Ayutthaya FC defence strength 1.141
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 7