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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

13:00

Venue

Thammasat Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bangkok United Win

43%

Bangkok United

2.34

25%

Draw

4.05

33%

Buriram United

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Bangkok United xG

Total xG

3.46

1.61

Buriram United xG

43%
25%
33%
Bangkok UnitedDrawBuriram United

2.34

43%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.46

31%

BTTS No

3.19

Clean Sheet

20%

Bangkok United

4.99

16%

Buriram United

6.39

Win to Nil

9%

Bangkok United

11.68

5%

Buriram United

19.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 5.0 4.1 2.2 0.9 0.3
1 5.8 9.3 7.5 4.0 1.6 0.5
2 5.4 8.7 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 3.3 5.4 4.3 2.3 0.9 0.3
4 1.5 2.5 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.855
λ Away (xG) 1.608
Total xG 3.463
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.212
Bangkok United attack strength 1.281
Bangkok United defence strength 1.020
Buriram United attack strength 1.302
Buriram United defence strength 0.957
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34