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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

11:00

Venue

Ayutthaya Province Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

28%

Ayutthaya FC

3.51

32%

Draw

3.14

40%

BG Pathum United

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.7%

Away win

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Ayutthaya FC xG

Total xG

2.29

1.26

BG Pathum United xG

28%
32%
40%
Ayutthaya FCDrawBG Pathum United

3.51

28%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

28%

Ayutthaya FC

3.53

36%

BG Pathum United

2.81

Win to Nil

8%

Ayutthaya FC

12.37

14%

BG Pathum United

7.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 12.7 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 10.4 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.4 6.8 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.9 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.034
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.294
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.135
Ayutthaya FC attack strength 0.785
Ayutthaya FC defence strength 1.143
BG Pathum United attack strength 0.971
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.851
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 50