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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 3 October 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 3 October 2026. Waalwijk vs Emmen (Waalwijk over 1.5 goals) sits top on 87% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Waalwijk over 1.5 goals 87%
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 72%
Draw 13%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 90% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC over 1.5 goals 73%
Almere City FC
1 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Den Bosch over 1.5 goals 73%
Den Bosch
1 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC OSS over 1.5 goals 69%
FC OSS
4 : 1 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#5 League Two Β· England Barnet over 1.5 goals 65%
Barnet
– : – PST
York
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 League One Β· England Wycombe over 1.5 goals 61%
Bromley
– : – PST
Wycombe
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 League One Β· England Plymouth over 1.5 goals 59%
Leyton Orient
0 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Vitesse over 1.5 goals 59%
Vitesse
2 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#9 League Two Β· England Grimsby over 1.5 goals 57%
Grimsby
1 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 60% Grimsby Clean Sheet 55%

Showing top 9 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 3 October 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Waalwijk vs Emmen (Waalwijk over 1.5 goals) at 87% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.