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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 16 September 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 16 September 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Barcelona vs Racing Santander (Barcelona over 1.5 goals) at 77% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona over 1.5 goals 77%
Barcelona
7 : 2 FT
Racing Santander
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals 69%
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 63%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals 64%
Atletico Madrid
4 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia Rubin over 1.5 goals 58%
Rodina Moskva
1 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF over 1.5 goals 58%
AIK Stockholm
1 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 5 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 16 September 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Racing Santander (Barcelona over 1.5 goals) at 77% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.