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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 11 May 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Monday 11 May 2026. Sirius vs Orgryte IS (Sirius over 1.5 goals) led the list at 89% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius over 1.5 goals 89%
Sirius
2 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 9%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira over 1.5 goals 63%
Al-Jazira
1 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC over 1.5 goals 62%
Vitória SC
0 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Nasr over 1.5 goals 62%
Al Nasr
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP over 1.5 goals 55%
Rio Ave
1 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 62%
BTTS No 54%

Showing top 5 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 11 May 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Sirius vs Orgryte IS (Sirius over 1.5 goals) at 89% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.