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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 22 March 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 22 March 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Buriram United vs Muangthong United (Buriram United over 1.5 goals) at 85% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United over 1.5 goals 85%
Buriram United
2 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 11%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona over 1.5 goals 75%
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 67%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy Como over 1.5 goals 68%
Como
5 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals 68%
Lech Poznan
4 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 67%
Rennes
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC over 1.5 goals 66%
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 65%
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg over 1.5 goals 64%
Rosenborg
0 : 2 FT
Valerenga
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta over 1.5 goals 64%
Atalanta
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 63%
Feyenoord
1 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 63%
Telstar
3 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland Lausanne over 1.5 goals 62%
FC Luzern
4 : 0 FT
Lausanne
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 76%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil Cruzeiro over 1.5 goals 61%
Cruzeiro
0 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv over 1.5 goals 60%
Lokomotiv
5 : 1 FT
Akron
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril over 1.5 goals 59%
Estoril
1 : 2 FT
Rio Ave
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals 59%
De Graafschap
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Bochum over 1.5 goals 58%
VfL Bochum
2 : 3 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 goals 57%
Preußen Münster
1 : 3 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Anyang over 1.5 goals 56%
FC Anyang
0 : 1 FT
Incheon United
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 over 1.5 goals 56%
FC Winterthur
0 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 22 March 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Muangthong United (Buriram United over 1.5 goals) at 85% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.