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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 8 March 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 8 March 2026. Villarreal vs Elche (Villarreal over 1.5 goals) led the list at 73% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal over 1.5 goals 73%
Villarreal
2 : 1 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV over 1.5 goals 70%
Club Brugge KV
2 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens over 1.5 goals 69%
Lens
3 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren over 1.5 goals 68%
Lokeren-Temse
1 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 64%
NEC Nijmegen
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Motor Lublin over 1.5 goals 60%
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile Palestino over 1.5 goals 58%
Palestino
4 : 2 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hertha BSC over 1.5 goals 58%
Preußen Münster
1 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur over 1.5 goals 57%
Cambuur
1 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Asteras Tripolis over 1.5 goals 57%
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 FT
Panserraikos
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap over 1.5 goals 57%
De Graafschap
1 : 4 FT
Vitesse
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK over 1.5 goals 56%
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy Catanzaro over 1.5 goals 56%
Catanzaro
3 : 2 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#14 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough over 1.5 goals 56%
QPR
0 : 4 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 31%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 56%
BSC Young Boys
1 : 2 FT
FC Thun
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam over 1.5 goals 55%
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 16 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 8 March 2026?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Villarreal vs Elche (Villarreal over 1.5 goals) at 73% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.