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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 14 September 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Sunday 14 September 2025. Utrecht vs Groningen (Utrecht over 1.5 goals) sits top on 78% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht over 1.5 goals 78%
Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium St. Truiden over 1.5 goals 73%
St. Truiden
0 : 3 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gimcheon Sangmu FC over 1.5 goals 72%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 2 FT
Daegu FC
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Stade Brestois 29 over 1.5 goals 71%
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 2 FT
Paris FC
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren over 1.5 goals 66%
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 5 FT
SK Beveren
Win 8%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 76%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ SK Beveren Clean Sheet 56%
#6 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Pacific FC over 1.5 goals 62%
Pacific FC
1 : 1 FT
Vancouver FC
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr over 1.5 goals 60%
Al-Nassr
2 : 0 FT
Al Kholood
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF over 1.5 goals 60%
IF Elfsborg
2 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia Krylia Sovetov over 1.5 goals 60%
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria TSV Hartberg over 1.5 goals 59%
Ried
0 : 2 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine Karpaty over 1.5 goals 58%
Karpaty
1 : 1 FT
SK Poltava
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht over 1.5 goals 58%
Anderlecht
1 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 55%
Heracles
1 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 29%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg over 1.5 goals 55%
Strasbourg
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma over 1.5 goals 55%
AS Roma
0 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 14 September 2025?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Utrecht vs Groningen (Utrecht over 1.5 goals) at 78% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.