Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability — Friday 18 April 2025
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists eight fixtures on Friday 18 April 2025. Birmingham vs Crawley Town (Birmingham over 1.5 goals) sits top on 83% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
League One · England
Birmingham over 1.5 goals
83%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV over 1.5 goals
72%
Championship · England
Norwich over 1.5 goals
68%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch over 1.5 goals
58%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP over 1.5 goals
58%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden over 1.5 goals
57%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv over 1.5 goals
57%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians over 1.5 goals
56%
Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Team Over 1.5 Goals — common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 18 April 2025?
eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Birmingham vs Crawley Town (Birmingham over 1.5 goals) at 83% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.