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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 16 February 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Sunday 16 February 2025. Eintracht Frankfurt vs Holstein Kiel (Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 goals) led the list at 78% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 goals 78%
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 78%
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 75%
Fenerbahçe
3 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals 73%
Jagiellonia
3 : 0 FT
Motor Lublin
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 72%
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 67%
Ajax
4 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals 64%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent over 1.5 goals 63%
Gent
3 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 23%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC over 1.5 goals 62%
FC Schalke 04
2 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 34%
Draw 21%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Eyüpspor over 1.5 goals 60%
Eyüpspor
1 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria TSV Hartberg over 1.5 goals 59%
TSV Hartberg
1 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise over 1.5 goals 58%
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium AS Eupen over 1.5 goals 58%
KRC Genk II
0 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 over 1.5 goals 57%
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
Lausanne
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon over 1.5 goals 57%
Montpellier
1 : 4 FT
Lyon
Win 27%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Fiorentina over 1.5 goals 57%
Fiorentina
0 : 2 FT
Como
Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 56%
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 16 February 2025?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Eintracht Frankfurt vs Holstein Kiel (Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 goals) at 78% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.