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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 11 May 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 11 May 2024. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm (Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals) led the list at 74% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 58%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals 74%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#2 Premier League Β· England Newcastle over 1.5 goals 72%
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Sukhothai FC over 1.5 goals 67%
Sukhothai FC
2 : 0 FT
Police Tero
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan over 1.5 goals 66%
AC Milan
5 : 1 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hertha BSC over 1.5 goals 64%
Hertha BSC
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland AC Oulu over 1.5 goals 63%
AC Oulu
1 : 1 FT
Gnistan
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm over 1.5 goals 63%
AIK Stockholm
1 : 3 FT
Sirius
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen over 1.5 goals 62%
Plzen
4 : 2 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Premier League Β· England Tottenham over 1.5 goals 62%
Tottenham
2 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Premier League Β· England West Ham over 1.5 goals 61%
West Ham
3 : 1 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals 61%
Jagiellonia
3 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Premier League Β· England Everton over 1.5 goals 60%
Everton
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 60%
RB Leipzig
1 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 55%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab over 1.5 goals 60%
Al Shabab
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde over 1.5 goals 59%
Molde
2 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze over 1.5 goals 59%
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 59%
BSC Young Boys
0 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals 59%
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gangwon FC over 1.5 goals 58%
Gangwon FC
3 : 3 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku over 1.5 goals 58%
Inter Turku
0 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 11 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm (Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals) at 74% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.