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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 1 April 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 1 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Bolton vs Reading (Bolton over 1.5 goals) at 69% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Bolton over 1.5 goals 69%
Bolton
5 : 2 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy Bologna over 1.5 goals 67%
Bologna
3 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Championship Β· England Ipswich over 1.5 goals 67%
Ipswich
3 : 2 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 20%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#4 League One Β· England Lincoln over 1.5 goals 64%
Carlisle
1 : 3 FT
Lincoln
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom over 1.5 goals 62%
Lillestrom
2 : 3 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Damac over 1.5 goals 61%
Al-Hazm
0 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden IK brage over 1.5 goals 61%
IK brage
1 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Inter over 1.5 goals 59%
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma over 1.5 goals 59%
Lecce
0 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 20%
Draw 23%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden Orebro SK over 1.5 goals 59%
Orebro SK
0 : 1 FT
Skövde AIK
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 League Two Β· England Notts County over 1.5 goals 58%
Notts County
3 : 3 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#12 League Two Β· England Bradford over 1.5 goals 58%
Grimsby
1 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 58%
Fredrikstad
0 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 30%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking over 1.5 goals 58%
Viking
1 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#15 Championship Β· England Leicester over 1.5 goals 56%
Leicester
3 : 1 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg over 1.5 goals 56%
Rosenborg
2 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 16 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 1 April 2024?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bolton vs Reading (Bolton over 1.5 goals) at 69% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.