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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 1 March 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Friday 1 March 2024. ADO Den Haag vs Jong Ajax (ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals) led the list at 77% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals 77%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 70%
FC Volendam
2 : 5 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 14%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 60%
SC Freiburg
2 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Cracovia Krakow over 1.5 goals 58%
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng over 1.5 goals 57%
Shandong Luneng
4 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai over 1.5 goals 55%
Khorfakkan
0 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 33%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 6 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 1 March 2024?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs Jong Ajax (ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals) at 77% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.