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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 28 January 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 28 January 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAS Giannina (Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals) at 73% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals 73%
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen over 1.5 goals 69%
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 4 FT
FC Lugano
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy Cittadella over 1.5 goals 67%
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 65%
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC over 1.5 goals 64%
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 64%
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Union Berlin over 1.5 goals 63%
Union Berlin
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern over 1.5 goals 60%
FC Luzern
2 : 1 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 60%
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 60%
Hamburger SV
3 : 4 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Boavista over 1.5 goals 59%
Boavista
1 : 4 FT
Portimonense
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük over 1.5 goals 58%
Fatih Karagümrük
4 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy Hellas Verona over 1.5 goals 58%
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals 56%
Atletico Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 55%
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 2 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 15 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 28 January 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAS Giannina (Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals) at 73% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.