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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 1 January 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Monday 1 January 2024. Leeds vs Birmingham (Leeds over 1.5 goals) sits top on 71% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Leeds over 1.5 goals 71%
Leeds
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 69%
Liverpool
4 : 2 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 League Two Β· England Crawley Town over 1.5 goals 67%
Crawley Town
3 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#4 League Two Β· England Tranmere over 1.5 goals 67%
Tranmere
4 : 2 FT
Notts County
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 League One Β· England Reading over 1.5 goals 64%
Reading
3 : 2 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#6 League One Β· England Bolton over 1.5 goals 63%
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#7 Championship Β· England Blackburn over 1.5 goals 58%
Blackburn
2 : 2 FT
Rotherham
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#8 League One Β· England Barnsley over 1.5 goals 58%
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Championship Β· England Leicester over 1.5 goals 58%
Leicester
4 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#10 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 goals 55%
Doncaster
3 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 10 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 1 January 2024?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Birmingham (Leeds over 1.5 goals) at 71% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.