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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 27 September 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Wednesday 27 September 2023. Inter vs Sassuolo (Inter over 1.5 goals) sits top on 82% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Inter over 1.5 goals 82%
Inter
1 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 78%
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece Kifisia over 1.5 goals 67%
Kifisia
1 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Sao Paulo over 1.5 goals 67%
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC over 1.5 goals 66%
Servette FC
2 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano over 1.5 goals 65%
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals 63%
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 23%
Win 6%
BTTS No 58% Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 56%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden Osters IF over 1.5 goals 62%
Osters IF
1 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club over 1.5 goals 60%
Athletic Club
2 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 58%
Ajax
0 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 57%
Twente
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden Skövde AIK over 1.5 goals 56%
Skövde AIK
4 : 2 FT
Landskrona BoIS
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor over 1.5 goals 55%
Adana Demirspor
4 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 13 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 27 September 2023?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Sassuolo (Inter over 1.5 goals) at 82% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.