Sign in Register
🎯

Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 26 August 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 26 August 2023. NEC Nijmegen vs Waalwijk (NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals) led the list at 69% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 59%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 69%
NEC Nijmegen
3 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 76%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia Nizhny Novgorod over 1.5 goals 68%
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 0 FT
FC Rostov
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain over 1.5 goals 67%
Hatta SC
0 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 21%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Arouca over 1.5 goals 67%
Arouca
1 : 1 FT
Portimonense
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava over 1.5 goals 65%
Baník Ostrava
2 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo over 1.5 goals 64%
Rubin
2 : 2 FT
Dynamo
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#7 Premier League Β· England Brighton over 1.5 goals 62%
Brighton
1 : 3 FT
West Ham
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg over 1.5 goals 61%
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Championship Β· England Southampton over 1.5 goals 61%
Southampton
2 : 1 FT
QPR
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium OH Leuven over 1.5 goals 59%
AS Eupen
3 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 33%
Draw 21%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#11 League Two Β· England Newport County over 1.5 goals 59%
Newport County
3 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC over 1.5 goals 59%
AEK Athens FC
1 : 1 FT
Panserraikos
Win 68%
Draw 24%
Win 8%
BTTS No 60% AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 56%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor over 1.5 goals 57%
Trabzonspor
2 : 3 FT
Rizespor
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta over 1.5 goals 57%
Frosinone
2 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 56%
Hannover 96
0 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 34%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente over 1.5 goals 56%
GIL Vicente
2 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Championship Β· England West Brom over 1.5 goals 56%
West Brom
4 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 26 August 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by NEC Nijmegen vs Waalwijk (NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals) at 69% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.