Sign in Register
🎯

Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 12 August 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Saturday 12 August 2023. Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest (Arsenal over 1.5 goals) sits top on 67% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 67%
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 67%
Ajax
4 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 66%
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Super League Β· China Meizhou Kejia over 1.5 goals 64%
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Premier League Β· England Brighton over 1.5 goals 62%
Brighton
4 : 1 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Championship Β· England Watford over 1.5 goals 60%
Watford
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden Osters IF over 1.5 goals 58%
Osters IF
1 : 2 FT
Gefle IF
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Widzew Łódź over 1.5 goals 57%
Widzew Łódź
1 : 0 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen over 1.5 goals 57%
Heerenveen
3 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar over 1.5 goals 57%
FC Orenburg
0 : 2 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia FC Rostov over 1.5 goals 56%
FC Rostov
3 : 0 FT
Rubin
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG over 1.5 goals 55%
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 4 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 55%
Paris Saint Germain
0 : 0 FT
Lorient
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv over 1.5 goals 55%
Lokomotiv
1 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 14 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 12 August 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest (Arsenal over 1.5 goals) at 67% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.