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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 25 February 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Saturday 25 February 2023. AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis (AEK Athens FC over 1.5 goals) sits top on 70% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC over 1.5 goals 70%
AEK Athens FC
2 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 17%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 64%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk over 1.5 goals 70%
Genk
3 : 0 FT
Oostende
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United over 1.5 goals 68%
Muangthong United
1 : 0 FT
BG Pathum United
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise over 1.5 goals 65%
KVC Westerlo
4 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 64%
Zlin
2 : 3 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 63%
Fenerbahçe
4 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Deinze over 1.5 goals 63%
Deinze
1 : 3 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Championship Β· England Burnley over 1.5 goals 62%
Burnley
4 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 62%
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany Hertha BSC over 1.5 goals 60%
Hertha BSC
2 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 76%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen over 1.5 goals 60%
FC Sion
0 : 4 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 73%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany Werder Bremen over 1.5 goals 60%
Werder Bremen
3 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon over 1.5 goals 58%
Angers
1 : 3 FT
Lyon
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 League Two Β· England Stevenage over 1.5 goals 57%
Stevenage
0 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Groningen over 1.5 goals 56%
Groningen
3 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 56%
NEC Nijmegen
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%

Showing top 16 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 25 February 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis (AEK Athens FC over 1.5 goals) at 70% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.