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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 21 October 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Five fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 21 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Ajaccio vs Paris Saint Germain (Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals) at 73% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 73%
Ajaccio
0 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 5%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 82%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Paris Saint Germain Clean Sheet 62%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 goals 72%
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Sao Paulo over 1.5 goals 65%
Sao Paulo
3 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Excelsior Virton over 1.5 goals 61%
Standard Liège II
2 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals 56%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 5 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 21 October 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajaccio vs Paris Saint Germain (Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals) at 73% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.