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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 23 April 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 23 April 2022. Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven (PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals) led the list at 75% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 75%
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 18%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 63%
Manchester City
5 : 1 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen over 1.5 goals 62%
KV Mechelen
1 : 0 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 62%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 4 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 13%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 62%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 62%
BSC Young Boys
3 : 1 FT
Servette FC
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK over 1.5 goals 62%
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Göztepe
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 over 1.5 goals 62%
FC Schalke 04
1 : 4 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino over 1.5 goals 61%
RB Bragantino
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#10 League One Β· England Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 goals 61%
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich over 1.5 goals 60%
FC Zurich
5 : 1 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#12 League One Β· England Sunderland over 1.5 goals 60%
Sunderland
5 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 60%
Benfica
0 : 0 FT
Famalicao
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg over 1.5 goals 60%
SC Freiburg
3 : 3 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 59%
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden AFC Eskilstuna over 1.5 goals 59%
Utsikten
2 : 3 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 33%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 58%
RB Leipzig
1 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#18 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland VPS over 1.5 goals 57%
Ilves
3 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway ODD Ballklubb over 1.5 goals 57%
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 3 FT
Aalesund
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon over 1.5 goals 56%
Lyon
5 : 2 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 23 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven (PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals) at 75% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.