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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 23 January 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 23 January 2022. FC Porto vs Famalicao (FC Porto over 1.5 goals) led the list at 71% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto over 1.5 goals 71%
FC Porto
3 : 1 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma over 1.5 goals 70%
Empoli
2 : 4 FT
AS Roma
Win 25%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 70%
Hertha BSC
1 : 4 FT
Bayern München
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 70%
RB Leipzig
2 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Hatayspor over 1.5 goals 68%
Hatayspor
0 : 0 FT
Rizespor
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht over 1.5 goals 66%
KV Mechelen
0 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 25%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax over 1.5 goals 63%
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 20%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice over 1.5 goals 62%
Metz
0 : 2 FT
Nice
Win 13%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 56%
#9 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 61%
Crystal Palace
1 : 3 FT
Liverpool
Win 28%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 57%
Real Madrid
2 : 2 FT
Elche
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Nantes over 1.5 goals 57%
Nantes
4 : 2 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg over 1.5 goals 57%
Bordeaux
4 : 3 FT
Strasbourg
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 57%
Arsenal
0 : 0 FT
Burnley
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Konyaspor over 1.5 goals 56%
Altay
0 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy Torino over 1.5 goals 56%
Torino
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 15 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 23 January 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Famalicao (FC Porto over 1.5 goals) at 71% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.