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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 3 October 2021

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Sunday 3 October 2021. Bayern München vs Eintracht Frankfurt (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) sits top on 87% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 87%
Bayern München
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 77%
Vitesse
2 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 9%
Draw 14%
Win 78%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 over 1.5 goals 76%
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz over 1.5 goals 72%
TSV Hartberg
3 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli over 1.5 goals 70%
Fiorentina
1 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 69%
Ajax
0 : 1 FT
Utrecht
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 61%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich over 1.5 goals 66%
FC Zurich
6 : 2 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur over 1.5 goals 66%
Cambuur
1 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 64%
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France Lorient over 1.5 goals 62%
Lorient
1 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy Hellas Verona over 1.5 goals 62%
Hellas Verona
4 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht over 1.5 goals 61%
Anderlecht
1 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 48%
Draw 21%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 60%
Servette FC
0 : 6 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 75%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway Haugesund over 1.5 goals 58%
Tromso
2 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway Kristiansund BK over 1.5 goals 57%
Kristiansund BK
1 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 over 1.5 goals 57%
FC Schalke 04
3 : 0 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin over 1.5 goals 55%
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 57%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Hatayspor over 1.5 goals 55%
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 2 FT
Hatayspor
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy Brescia over 1.5 goals 55%
Brescia
2 : 4 FT
Como
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 19 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 3 October 2021?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Eintracht Frankfurt (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 87% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.