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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 22 September 2021

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 22 September 2021. Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF (Djurgardens IF over 1.5 goals) led the list at 79% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF over 1.5 goals 79%
Djurgardens IF
3 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy Parma over 1.5 goals 68%
Ternana
3 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 65%
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan over 1.5 goals 64%
AC Milan
2 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Montpellier over 1.5 goals 59%
Montpellier
3 : 3 FT
Bordeaux
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille over 1.5 goals 56%
Angers
0 : 0 FT
Marseille
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 6 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 22 September 2021?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF (Djurgardens IF over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.