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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Servette FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Lausanne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Servette FC beat Lausanne 2-0 at Stade de Genève, Relegation Group - 37, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Servette FC 2.21 xG and Lausanne 1.09 xG, a combined 3.29. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Lausanne landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Servette FC attack 1.12 / defence 0.88 against Lausanne attack 0.86 / defence 1.16, drawn from 66/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Servette FC 61% | Draw 23% | Lausanne 16%, with Servette FC to win its most likely call at 61%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 64% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Servette FC 62%, Lausanne 65%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 66%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Servette FC's trading profile (74 games, 36 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 70% of their matches — today it did not.

Lausanne's trading profile (74 games, 36 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Servette FC 1.49 PPG, Lausanne 1.28 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Servette FC win broke the near-deadlock. Servette FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line. Lausanne (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.22 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights