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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Thun cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Servette FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Thun beat Servette FC 1-3 at Stade de Genève, Regular Season - 23, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Servette FC 1.46 xG and FC Thun 2.19 xG, a combined 3.65. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. FC Thun outscored their 2.19 projection by 0.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Servette FC attack 0.98 / defence 1.16 against FC Thun attack 1.22 / defence 0.88, drawn from 55/22 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Servette FC 24% | Draw 23% | FC Thun 53%, with FC Thun to win its most likely call at 53%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 71%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 89% and landed. Over 3.5 was 50% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 69% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 73% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Servette FC 68%, FC Thun 77%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 73%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Servette FC's trading profile (22 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 73% of their matches — today it did.

FC Thun's trading profile (22 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 73% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, FC Thun arrived the stronger side — 2.23 PPG against 1.14. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Servette FC (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.91 concession average — a leakier day than usual. FC Thun (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 2.18 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights