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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Thun cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Grasshoppers.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Thun beat Grasshoppers 1-3 at Letzigrund Stadion, Regular Season - 20, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Grasshoppers 1.33 xG and FC Thun 1.61 xG, a combined 2.94. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. FC Thun outscored their 1.61 projection by 1.4. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grasshoppers attack 0.90 / defence 0.98 against FC Thun attack 1.08 / defence 0.90, drawn from 52/19 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Grasshoppers 32% | Draw 24% | FC Thun 44%, with FC Thun to win its most likely call at 44%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 56%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. Over 3.5 was 34% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Grasshoppers 58%, FC Thun 74%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Grasshoppers's trading profile (19 games, 9 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

FC Thun's trading profile (19 games, 9 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, FC Thun arrived the stronger side — 2.11 PPG against 0.89. Form held, and they took the win. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.56 concession average — a leakier day than usual. FC Thun (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 2.11 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights