🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

FC Sion cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over FC Thun.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Sion beat FC Thun 2-0 at Stade de Tourbillon, Championship Group - 36, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 1.34 xG and FC Thun 1.02 xG, a combined 2.36. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. FC Thun landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.92 / defence 0.66 against FC Thun attack 1.08 / defence 0.85, drawn from 66/33 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Sion 42% | Draw 33% | FC Thun 26%, with FC Sion to win its most likely call at 42%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 46%, FC Thun 77%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Sion's trading profile (35 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one.

FC Thun's trading profile (35 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, FC Thun arrived the stronger side — 2.11 PPG against 1.66. Form was overturned, with FC Sion winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. FC Thun (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.18 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights