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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Championship Group - 37

Kick-off

Thu 14 May 2026

15:30

Venue

Stade de Tourbillon

Competition

Super League

Switzerland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Sion Win

41%

FC Sion

2.46

36%

Draw

2.76

23%

FC Lugano

4.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

FC Sion xG

Total xG

1.93

0.80

FC Lugano xG

41%
36%
23%
FC SionDrawFC Lugano

2.46

41%

Home win

2.76

36%

Draw

4.32

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

45%

FC Sion

2.22

32%

FC Lugano

3.10

Win to Nil

18%

FC Sion

5.47

7%

FC Lugano

13.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5 11.6 4.6 1.2 0.2
1 16.4 13.1 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 9.3 7.4 3.0 0.8 0.2
3 3.5 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.130
λ Away (xG) 0.799
Total xG 1.929
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.427
FC Sion attack strength 0.925
FC Sion defence strength 0.664
FC Lugano attack strength 0.843
FC Lugano defence strength 0.715
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66