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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Sion cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over FC Basel 1893.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Sion beat FC Basel 1893 2-0 at Stade de Tourbillon, Regular Season - 24, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 1.25 xG and FC Basel 1893 1.12 xG, a combined 2.37. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. FC Basel 1893 landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.76 / defence 0.65 against FC Basel 1893 attack 1.13 / defence 0.95, drawn from 56/56 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Sion 37% | Draw 33% | FC Basel 1893 31%, with FC Sion to win its most likely call at 37%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 46%, FC Basel 1893 62%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Sion's trading profile (61 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

FC Basel 1893's trading profile (61 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, FC Basel 1893 arrived the stronger side — 1.84 PPG against 1.28. Form was overturned, with FC Sion winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. FC Sion (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.03 average — tighter than their form line. FC Basel 1893 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.23 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights