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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Thun Win
33%
3.07
29%
3.43
38%
2.61
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.7%
Away win
2 – 1
8.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.52
FC Lugano xG
Total xG
3.17
1.65
FC Thun xG
FC LuganoDrawFC Thun
3.07
33%
Home win
3.43
29%
Draw
2.61
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.51
34%
BTTS No
2.94
Clean Sheet
19%
5.22
22%
4.57
Win to Nil
6%
16.04
8%
11.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 10.5 | 8.7 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.520
λ Away (xG)
1.653
Total xG
3.173
League avg home goals
1.724
League avg away goals
1.443
FC Lugano attack strength
1.068
FC Lugano defence strength
0.945
FC Thun attack strength
1.212
FC Thun defence strength
0.826
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 31