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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

Stadio di Cornaredo

Competition

Super League

Switzerland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Basel 1893 Win

31%

FC Lugano

3.27

29%

Draw

3.40

40%

FC Basel 1893

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

0 – 1

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

FC Lugano xG

Total xG

2.98

1.60

FC Basel 1893 xG

31%
29%
40%
FC LuganoDrawFC Basel 1893

3.27

31%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

20%

FC Lugano

4.94

25%

FC Basel 1893

3.98

Win to Nil

6%

FC Lugano

16.19

10%

FC Basel 1893

9.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 8.1 6.5 3.5 1.4 0.4
1 7.0 11.2 9.0 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 7.8 6.2 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.2 3.6 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 1.598
Total xG 2.980
League avg home goals 1.760
League avg away goals 1.335
FC Lugano attack strength 0.887
FC Lugano defence strength 1.084
FC Basel 1893 attack strength 1.105
FC Basel 1893 defence strength 0.885
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 36