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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Sion cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over FC Basel 1893.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Sion beat FC Basel 1893 0-2 at St. Jakob-Park, Championship Group - 34, in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Basel 1893 1.34 xG and FC Sion 1.37 xG, a combined 2.71. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. FC Basel 1893 fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Basel 1893 attack 0.97 / defence 0.88 against FC Sion attack 1.09 / defence 0.81, drawn from 66/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Basel 1893 34% | Draw 31% | FC Sion 35%, with FC Sion to win its most likely call at 35%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Basel 1893 62%, FC Sion 46%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Basel 1893's trading profile (71 games, 35 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

FC Sion's trading profile (71 games, 35 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, FC Basel 1893 arrived the stronger side — 1.77 PPG against 1.35. Form was overturned, with FC Sion winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. FC Basel 1893 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.94 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 0.86 concession average — a leakier day than usual. FC Sion (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.17 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.66 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights