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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

15:30

Venue

St. Jakob-Park

Competition

Super League

Switzerland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

32%

FC Basel 1893

3.12

35%

Draw

2.85

33%

FC Lugano

3.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.9%

Away win

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

FC Basel 1893 xG

Total xG

2.11

1.06

FC Lugano xG

32%
35%
33%
FC Basel 1893DrawFC Lugano

3.12

32%

Home win

2.85

35%

Draw

3.04

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

34%

FC Basel 1893

2.90

35%

FC Lugano

2.85

Win to Nil

11%

FC Basel 1893

9.05

12%

FC Lugano

8.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 12.9 6.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 12.7 13.5 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.1
2 6.6 7.1 3.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 2.3 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.049
λ Away (xG) 1.065
Total xG 2.114
League avg home goals 1.749
League avg away goals 1.496
FC Basel 1893 attack strength 0.804
FC Basel 1893 defence strength 0.749
FC Lugano attack strength 0.950
FC Lugano defence strength 0.746
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57