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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

13:00

Venue

St. Jakob-Park

Competition

Super League

Switzerland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Basel 1893 Win

64%

FC Basel 1893

1.56

19%

Draw

5.23

17%

FC Lugano

6.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.2%

Home win

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.26

FC Basel 1893 xG

Total xG

3.32

1.06

FC Lugano xG

64%
19%
17%
FC Basel 1893DrawFC Lugano

1.56

64%

Home win

5.23

19%

Draw

6.00

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

34%

FC Basel 1893

2.90

10%

FC Lugano

9.54

Win to Nil

22%

FC Basel 1893

4.52

2%

FC Lugano

57.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.1 8.7 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.2 9.8 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.9 7.4 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.9 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
5 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.256
λ Away (xG) 1.065
Total xG 3.321
League avg home goals 1.913
League avg away goals 1.336
FC Basel 1893 attack strength 1.057
FC Basel 1893 defence strength 0.807
FC Lugano attack strength 0.987
FC Lugano defence strength 1.116
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 44