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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Thu 25 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Umea Energi Arena

Competition

Superettan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasteras SK FK Win

22%

Umeå FC

4.61

25%

Draw

3.93

53%

Vasteras SK FK

1.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

0 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Umeå FC xG

Total xG

2.63

1.66

Vasteras SK FK xG

22%
25%
53%
Umeå FCDrawVasteras SK FK

4.61

22%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

1.89

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

19%

Umeå FC

5.25

38%

Vasteras SK FK

2.65

Win to Nil

4%

Umeå FC

24.21

20%

Vasteras SK FK

5.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 11.9 9.9 5.5 2.3 0.7
1 7.0 11.6 9.6 5.3 2.2 0.7
2 3.4 5.7 4.7 2.6 1.1 0.4
3 1.1 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.976
λ Away (xG) 1.658
Total xG 2.634
League avg home goals 1.521
League avg away goals 1.170
Umeå FC attack strength 0.566
Umeå FC defence strength 1.322
Vasteras SK FK attack strength 1.072
Vasteras SK FK defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 23