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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

12:00

Venue

Umea Energi Arena

Competition

Superettan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Varbergs BoIS FC Win

24%

Umeå FC

4.20

27%

Draw

3.71

49%

Varbergs BoIS FC

2.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Umeå FC xG

Total xG

2.44

1.49

Varbergs BoIS FC xG

24%
27%
49%
Umeå FCDrawVarbergs BoIS FC

4.20

24%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.03

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

23%

Umeå FC

4.43

39%

Varbergs BoIS FC

2.59

Win to Nil

5%

Umeå FC

18.63

19%

Varbergs BoIS FC

5.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 13.0 9.6 4.8 1.8 0.5
1 8.3 12.3 9.2 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 4.0 5.9 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.953
λ Away (xG) 1.489
Total xG 2.442
League avg home goals 1.564
League avg away goals 1.170
Umeå FC attack strength 0.596
Umeå FC defence strength 1.180
Varbergs BoIS FC attack strength 1.079
Varbergs BoIS FC defence strength 1.021
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 57