Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

16:00

Venue

Umea Energi Arena

Competition

Superettan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ostersunds FK Win

23%

Umeå FC

4.32

29%

Draw

3.45

48%

Ostersunds FK

2.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.80

Umeå FC xG

Total xG

2.08

1.28

Ostersunds FK xG

23%
29%
48%
Umeå FCDrawOstersunds FK

4.32

23%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.09

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

28%

Umeå FC

3.60

45%

Ostersunds FK

2.22

Win to Nil

6%

Umeå FC

15.58

22%

Ostersunds FK

4.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 16.0 10.3 4.4 1.4 0.4
1 10.0 12.8 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 4.0 5.1 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.796
λ Away (xG) 1.282
Total xG 2.078
League avg home goals 1.176
League avg away goals 1.224
Umeå FC attack strength 0.706
Umeå FC defence strength 1.120
Ostersunds FK attack strength 0.935
Ostersunds FK defence strength 0.958
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 32