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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Landskrona BoIS cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Umeå FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Landskrona BoIS beat Umeå FC 0-2 at Umea Energi Arena, Regular Season - 6, in the Superettan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Umeå FC 1.02 xG and Landskrona BoIS 1.79 xG, a combined 2.82. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Umeå FC fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Umeå FC attack 0.72 / defence 1.16 against Landskrona BoIS attack 1.21 / defence 1.10, drawn from 5/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Umeå FC 21% | Draw 23% | Landskrona BoIS 55%, with Landskrona BoIS to win its most likely call at 55%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights