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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

14:00

Venue

Umea Energi Arena

Competition

Superettan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Kalmar FF Win

18%

Umeå FC

5.48

27%

Draw

3.65

54%

Kalmar FF

1.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

0 – 2

11.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.76

Umeå FC xG

Total xG

2.26

1.50

Kalmar FF xG

18%
27%
54%
Umeå FCDrawKalmar FF

5.48

18%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

1.84

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

22%

Umeå FC

4.50

47%

Kalmar FF

2.14

Win to Nil

4%

Umeå FC

24.69

25%

Kalmar FF

3.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 15.6 11.8 5.9 2.2 0.7
1 7.9 11.9 8.9 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 3.0 4.5 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
3 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.2
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.760
λ Away (xG) 1.505
Total xG 2.265
League avg home goals 1.397
League avg away goals 1.304
Umeå FC attack strength 0.631
Umeå FC defence strength 1.274
Kalmar FF attack strength 0.906
Kalmar FF defence strength 0.863
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 18