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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

12:00

Venue

Umea Energi Arena

Competition

Superettan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

IK brage Win

26%

Umeå FC

3.79

26%

Draw

3.78

47%

IK brage

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Umeå FC xG

Total xG

2.47

1.45

IK brage xG

26%
26%
47%
Umeå FCDrawIK brage

3.79

26%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

23%

Umeå FC

4.27

36%

IK brage

2.76

Win to Nil

6%

Umeå FC

16.17

17%

IK brage

5.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 12.3 8.9 4.3 1.6 0.5
1 8.6 12.5 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.4 6.3 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.5 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.015
λ Away (xG) 1.452
Total xG 2.467
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.106
Umeå FC attack strength 0.823
Umeå FC defence strength 1.243
IK brage attack strength 1.056
IK brage defence strength 0.918
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 34